Andrew Fowlie
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Recent & Upcoming Talks
2024
The Bayes factor surface
I will discuss the Bayes factor surface - a new way to present results of experimental studies. I will begin by explaining my …
Nov 10, 2024
Soochow University
PDF
Slides
Presenting results from experimental searches for new physics
Searches for new physics are usually summarized by exclusion plots. After an overview of popular techniques at the LHC, we introduce a …
Oct 23, 2024
Hangzhou
PDF
Slides
A cry of distress from Nature? Fine tuning in scientific theories
The parameters in our best theories in fundamental science must be carefully fine-tuned to match experimental observations. …
Oct 9, 2024
XJTLU Taicang
Slides
The status of fine-tuning arguments in the CEPC era
Fine-tuning arguments played a prominent role in motivating searches for new physics at the LHC. After a brief historical overview, we …
Aug 31, 2024
Zhengzhou University
PDF
Slides
Cosmological phase transitions: From perturbative particle physics to gravitational waves
May 29, 2024
XJTLU
Slides
Testing fundamental theories with global fits
We all want to build fundamental theories and test them against experimental data. Testing our theories is made challenging, however, …
May 10, 2024
Duke Kunshan University
Slides
Testing fundamental theories with global fits
We all want to build fundamental theories and test them against experimental data. Testing our theories is made challenging, however, …
Apr 26, 2024
Suzhou University
Slides
The Bayes factor surface for searches for new physics
I will discuss the Bayes factor surface - a new way to present results of searches for new physics. I will begin by explaining my …
Feb 20, 2024
Online
Slides
2023
Origins of parameters in adimensional models
We explore the origins of parameters in adimensional theories – fundamental theories with no classical massive scales. If the …
Oct 20, 2023
Fudan University
Slides
Origins of parameters in adimensional models
We explore the origins of parameters in adimensional theories – fundamental theories with no classical massive scales. If the …
Sep 28, 2023
XJTLU
Slides
From first order phase transitions to gravitational waves
Gravitational waves have now emerged as an important experimental test of first-order phase transitions in the early Universe and we …
Sep 23, 2023
Tsung-Dao Lee Institute
Slides
New physics in the garden of forking paths
Finding new physics means correctly distinguishing signal from noise in LHC searches. What can go wrong and what research practices …
Sep 21, 2023
Tsung-Dao Lee Institute
Slides
Origins of parameters in adimensional models
We explore the origins of parameters in adimensional theories — fundamental theories with no classical massive scales. If the …
Jul 7, 2023
Online
Slides
Video
Opening up Nested Sampling
We open up nested sampling (NS) to new applications by viewing NS as a general algorithm for tackling compression. We demonstrate this …
Jul 6, 2023
Online
Slides
Origins of parameters in adimensional models
We explore the origins of parameters in adimensional theories – fundamental theories with no classical massive scales. If the …
Jun 2, 2023
Zhejiang University
Slides
Origins of parameters in adimensional models
We explore the origins of parameters in adimensional theories – fundamental theories with no classical massive scales. If the …
May 24, 2023
Shandong University
Slides
2022
Herding cats? — Bayesian and frequentist methods and compromises
I review Bayesian and frequentist methods, including their philosophies and subjective and objective aspects, and provide examples of …
Mar 14, 2022
The University of Goettingen (online)
Slides
2021
Nested sampling for frequentist computation: fast estimation of small $p$-values
We propose a novel method for computing $p$-values based on nested sampling (NS). The computational cost of NS scales as $\log^2 1/p$, …
Nov 26, 2021
Online
PDF
Slides
Getting the most out of particle physics experiments
The statistical models used to derive the results of experimental analyses are of incredible scientific value and are essential …
Oct 27, 2021
Online
PDF
Slides
Nested sampling for frequentist computation: fast estimation of small $p$-values
We propose a novel method for computing $p$-values based on nested sampling (NS) applied to the sampling space rather than the …
Jul 29, 2021
ATLAS Statistics Forum
PDF
Slides
Video
Nested sampling for frequentist computation: fast estimation of small $p$-values
We propose a novel method for computing $p$-values based on nested sampling (NS) applied to the sampling space rather than the …
Jul 9, 2021
Purple Mountain Observatory
PDF
Slides
Pitfalls in likelihood land
The starting point for a statistically sound reinterpretation of an experimental result is the likelihood function, which encodes the …
Feb 18, 2021
Online
Slides
Video
Evidence for axion-like particles from XENON1T and astrophysical data
The excess of electron recoil events seen by the XENON1T experiment has been interpreted as a potential signal of axion-like particles …
Jan 12, 2021
NCBJ
PDF
Slides
2020
Nested sampling cross-checks using order statistics
Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and …
Dec 28, 2020
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
PDF
Slides
Nested sampling cross-checks using order statistics
Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and …
Jul 21, 2020
Monash University
PDF
Slides
Nested sampling cross-checks using order statistics
Nested sampling (NS) is an invaluable tool in data analysis in modern astrophysics, cosmology, gravitational wave astronomy and …
Jul 15, 2020
Cambridge University
PDF
Slides
2019
Strong first-order phase transitions in the NMSSM and methods for finding them
Dec 19, 2019
Shanghai
PDF
Slides
Combined collider constraints on neutralinos and charginos
Searches for supersymmetric electroweakinos have entered a crucial phase, as the integrated luminosity of the Large Hadron Collider is …
Aug 14, 2019
Weihai
PDF
Slides
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to discoveries
I discuss findings from my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches (
1902.03243
). I introduce a …
Jul 31, 2019
Stockholm
PDF
Poster
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to discoveries
I discuss findings from my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches (
1902.03243
). I introduce a …
Jul 15, 2019
Ghent
PDF
Poster
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to discoveries
I discuss findings from my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches (
1902.03243
). I introduce a …
Jul 2, 2019
Manchester
PDF
Slides
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches
I discuss findings from my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches (
1902.03243
). I introduce a …
Apr 21, 2019
Nanjing
PDF
Slides
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches
I discuss my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to a resonance-like feature in the spectrum measured by DAMPE and …
Apr 17, 2019
Nanjing Normal University
PDF
Slides
Bayesian and frequentist approaches to resonance searches
I discuss my recent comparison of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to a resonance-like feature in the spectrum measured by DAMPE and …
Apr 16, 2019
Purple Mountain Observatory
PDF
Slides
2018
Non-parametric uncertainties in the dark matter velocity distribution
We investigate the impact of uncertainty in the velocity distribution of dark matter on direct detection experiments. We construct an …
Dec 10, 2018
Auckland University
PDF
Slides
Statistical Analyses of Higgs- and Z-Portal Dark Matter Models
I present results from
1711.09912
of frequentist and Bayesian statistical analyses of Higgs- and Z-portal models of dark matter …
Jul 6, 2018
Seoul
PDF
Slides
Statistical Analyses of Higgs- and Z-Portal Dark Matter Models
I present results from
1711.09912
of frequentist and Bayesian statistical analyses of Higgs- and Z-portal models of dark matter …
Jun 25, 2018
Nanjing Normal University
PDF
Slides
Potential applications of machine learning in particle physics
We, the GAMBIT collaboration, perform statistical analyses of models in particle physics. We must determine whether points in a …
Mar 19, 2018
National Centre for Synchrotron Science
Slides
Statistical Analyses of Higgs- and Z-Portal Dark Matter Models
I present results from
1711.09912
of frequentist and Bayesian statistical analyses of Higgs- and Z-portal models of dark matter …
Mar 8, 2018
Melbourne University
PDF
Slides
2017
Relative plausibility of scientific theories: WIMP dark matter
I discuss how one can use Bayesian statistics to judge scientific theories, showing that an automatic Occam’s razor penalises …
Nov 30, 2017
Sydney University
PDF
Slides
Halo-independence with quantified maximum entropy at DAMA/LIBRA
Using the DAMA/LIBRA anomaly as an example, we formalise the notion of halo-independence in the context of Bayesian statistics and …
Oct 14, 2017
National Dong Hwa University, Taiwan
PDF
Slides
Video
Halo-independence with quantified maximum entropy at DAMA/LIBRA
Using the DAMA/LIBRA anomaly as an example, we formalise the notion of halo-independence in the context of Bayesian statistics and …
Oct 12, 2017
NTU, Taiwan
PDF
Slides
Video
Halo-independence with quantified maximum entropy at DAMA/LIBRA
Using the DAMA/LIBRA anomaly as an example, we formalise the notion of halo-independence in the context of Bayesian statistics and …
Oct 4, 2017
Kavli IMPU, Tokyo
PDF
Slides
Video
Using Bayes factors to understand anomalies at the LHC
In light of recent controversy about $p$-values, I discuss Bayes factors and their potential application in particle physics at the …
Sep 30, 2017
National Taiwan University
PDF
Slides
2016
Naturalness of the relaxion mechanism
The relaxion mechanism is a novel solution to the hierarchy problem that utilizes the dynamics of an axion-like field. I discuss …
Nov 29, 2016
Sydney University
PDF
Slides
Bayesian approach to naturalness
I argue that traditional fine-tuning and naturalness arguments in physics originate from Bayesian statistics, including an overview of …
Nov 24, 2016
Sydney University
Slides
The Jeffreys-Lindley's paradox
Lindley’s paradox is a difficulty reconciling two paradigms, Bayesian and frequentist statistics. Like in physics, paradoxes are …
Nov 1, 2016
Monash University
Slides
Naturalness of the relaxion mechanism
The relaxion mechanism is a novel solution to the hierarchy problem that utilizes the dynamics of an axion-like field. I discuss …
Jul 7, 2016
Melbourne University
PDF
Slides
Bayesian naturalness of Next-to-Minimal and Minimal Supersymmetric Models
The discovery of a 125 GeV Higgs-like boson and null results in searches for new physics at the LHC have lead to renewed interest in …
Jul 5, 2016
Melbourne University
PDF
Slides
Naturalness of the relaxion mechanism
The relaxion mechanism is a novel solution to the hierarchy problem that utilizes the dynamics of an axion-like field. I discuss …
Feb 16, 2016
Torquay
PDF
Slides
2015
LHC and beyond in 10 minutes: A quick tour
Dec 1, 2015
Monash University
Slides
2014
CMSSM vs CNMSSM
Sep 23, 2014
KBFI (Tallinn)
PDF
Slides
Prospects for constrained supersymmetry at $\sqrt{s}=33$ TeV and $\sqrt{s}=100$ TeV proton-proton super-colliders
Discussions are underway for a high-energy proton-proton collider. Two preliminary ideas are the $\sqrt{s}=33$ TeV HE-LHC and the …
Apr 29, 2014
Warsaw University
PDF
Slides
Bayes vs chi-squared
Jan 1, 2014
KBFI (Tallinn)
Slides
2013
Bayesian Reconstruction of SUSY parameters at $\sqrt{s} = 14\,\text{GeV}$ via the Golden Decay
Oct 6, 2013
Warsaw
PDF
Slides
Status of SUSY after LHC Run I
In light of the failed supersymmetry searches at the LHC, with Bayesian statistics, I discuss: Where is supersymmetry?, and, Is the …
Apr 9, 2013
Liverpool University
PDF
Slides
2012
The CMSSM Favoring New Territories: The Impact of New LHC Limits and a 125 GeV Higgs
Nov 22, 2012
Oxford
PDF
Poster
The CMSSM after 2 years of the LHC
Oct 1, 2012
Sheffield
Slides
Bayesian Implications of Current LHC and XENON100 Search Limits for the Constrained MSSM
Jan 10, 2012
Durham University
PDF
Poster
2011
Bayesian Implications of Current LHC Limits for the Constrained MSSM
I explain how we identify the regions of the Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model’s parameter space that are in best …
Dec 13, 2011
Durham University
PDF
Slides
Supersymmetry and the LHC: A Bayesian Approach
Oct 1, 2011
Sheffield University
PDF
Slides
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